Monsoon is expected to be normal in the second half of the four-month rainy season, the meteorological department said
New Delhi:
July ended with a 10% rainfall deficit, but the monsoon is expected to be normal in the second half of the four-month rainy season, the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) said on Friday.
IMD Managing Director Mrutyunjay Mohapatra said July ended with a 10% rainfall deficit, mainly due to poor rains in parts of northern and central India.
The IMD had predicted that July would receive rainfall corresponding to 103 percent of the long-term average (LPA), which falls into the “normal” category. June received 17% more precipitation than normal.
In its long-term forecast for precipitation in the second half (August-September) of the 2020 southwest monsoon, IMD said August is expected to receive precipitation corresponding to 97% of the LPA. with a margin of error of plus / minus 9%. .
“Quantitatively, precipitation over the whole country in the second half of the season is likely to be 104 percent of the LPA with a margin of error of plus / minus eight percent,” he said. .
The LPA rainfall over the country for the period 1961-2010 is 88 centimeters.
Monsoon in the 96-104 percent LPA range is considered normal. The official rainy season in the country runs from June 1 to September 30.
The onset of the monsoon over Kerala occurred on June 1 and until July 31 the country had received normal rainfall.
The Northwest Division of IMD has an 18% deficit. It includes Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Punjab, Haryana and the Union Territories of Chandigarh, Delhi, Jammu and Kashmir and Ladakh. The deficit in Jammu and Kashmir and Ladakh is 49 and 61% respectively. Delhi also recorded a deficit of 24%.
The Central India Division has a deficit of 4%. The division includes Goa, Maharashtra, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Odisha and the Union Territories of Dadra and Nagar Haveli and Daman and Diu. The two Union territories recorded insufficient rainfall.
Mr Mohapatra said the deficiency in northern and central India increased in July as parts of eastern Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, western Uttar Pradesh, Gujarat, Chhattisgarh, Odisha and Jharkhand received less rainfall.
“But an area of low pressure will bring rainfall to those areas and the deficiency will decrease,” he said.
IMD’s Southern Peninsula Weather Division received 12% more than normal precipitation. The division covers Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Telangana, Kerala, Karnataka and the Union Territories of Andaman and Nicobar Islands, Lakshadweep and Pondicherry. Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Telangana and Pondicherry received excessive rains. Kerala experienced insufficient rainfall.
The eastern and northeastern division of India also recorded 12% more rainfall. The division includes West Bengal, Bihar, Jharkhand and the northeastern states. Meghalaya and Bihar experienced excessive rainfall. However, rainfall was insufficient in Nagaland, Manipur and Mizoram.
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